Week 8 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Data from Survivor Board grid
Board data as of 2026-11-06 04:00 PM PST. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Everyone this week
Safest picks
- 1CINCincinnati Bengals86.3% win, vs Tennessee Titans -13.5
- 2JAXJacksonville Jaguars79.6% win, vs Indianapolis Colts -10
- 3NENew England Patriots74.4% win, @ Miami Dolphins -7
- 4DALDallas Cowboys74.1% win, vs Arizona Cardinals -7
- 5LALos Angeles Rams71% win, vs Los Angeles Chargers -6.5
Most picked by the public
- 1CINCincinnati Bengals36.9% of entries
- 2JAXJacksonville Jaguars18.1% of entries
- 3NENew England Patriots14.7% of entries
Contrarian value
- 1WASWashington Commanders70.5% win, only 1.2% picked
- 2PITPittsburgh Steelers63.7% win, only 1.1% picked
- 3GBGreen Bay Packers63.1% win, only 2.5% picked
All 28 teams, strongest first. Scroll sideways on a phone.
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Cincinnati Bengals | vs Tennessee Titans | -13.5 | 86.3% | 85.3% | 36.9% | W |
| JAX Jacksonville Jaguars | vs Indianapolis Colts | -10 | 79.6% | 86.5% | 18.1% | W |
| NE New England Patriots | @ Miami Dolphins | -7 | 74.4% | 81.1% | 14.7% | W |
| DAL Dallas Cowboys | vs Arizona Cardinals | -7 | 74.1% | 76.2% | 8.1% | L |
| LA Los Angeles Rams | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -6.5 | 71% | 75.3% | 11.1% | W |
| WAS Washington Commanders | vs Philadelphia Eagles | -6 | 70.5% | 64.1% | 1.2% | W |
| PIT Pittsburgh Steelers | vs Cleveland Browns | -3.5 | 63.7% | 62.6% | 1.1% | W |
| GB Green Bay Packers | vs Carolina Panthers | -3.5 | 63.1% | 63.6% | 2.5% | W |
| DET Detroit Lions | vs Minnesota Vikings | -3 | 60.4% | 57.2% | 0.2% | W |
| SEA Seattle Seahawks | vs Chicago Bears | -3 | 60% | 51.7% | 0.7% | L |
| BUF Buffalo Bills | vs Baltimore Ravens | -3 | 59.3% | 58.7% | 1.6% | W |
| TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs Atlanta Falcons | -2.5 | 54.3% | 51.1% | 0.1% | W |
| NYJ New York Jets | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -1.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 0.1% | L |
| DEN Denver Broncos | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 | 50.4% | 51.1% | 0% | W |
| Underdogs this week | ||||||
| KC Kansas City Chiefs | @ Denver Broncos | +1.5 | 49.6% | 48.9% | 0.1% | L |
| LV Las Vegas Raiders | @ New York Jets | +1.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 1.6% | W |
| ATL Atlanta Falcons | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2.5 | 45.7% | 48.9% | 0.1% | L |
| BAL Baltimore Ravens | @ Buffalo Bills | +3 | 40.7% | 41.3% | 0% | L |
| CHI Chicago Bears | @ Seattle Seahawks | +3 | 40% | 48.3% | 0.1% | W |
| MIN Minnesota Vikings | @ Detroit Lions | +3 | 39.6% | 42.8% | 0.1% | L |
| CAR Carolina Panthers | @ Green Bay Packers | +3.5 | 36.9% | 36.4% | 0.1% | L |
| CLE Cleveland Browns | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +3.5 | 36.3% | 37.4% | 0.1% | L |
| PHI Philadelphia Eagles | @ Washington Commanders | +6 | 29.5% | 35.9% | 0.1% | L |
| LAC Los Angeles Chargers | @ Los Angeles Rams | +6.5 | 29% | 24.7% | 0% | L |
| ARI Arizona Cardinals | @ Dallas Cowboys | +7 | 25.9% | 23.8% | 0% | W |
| MIA Miami Dolphins | vs New England Patriots | +7 | 25.6% | 18.9% | 0% | L |
| IND Indianapolis Colts | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +10 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 0% | L |
| TEN Tennessee Titans | @ Cincinnati Bengals | +13.5 | 13.7% | 14.7% | 0% | L |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.