Week 9 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Data from Survivor Board grid
Board data as of 2026-11-06 04:00 PM PST. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Everyone this week
Safest picks
- 1KCKansas City Chiefs80.4% win, vs New York Jets -9.5
- 2SFSan Francisco 49ers79.5% win, vs Las Vegas Raiders -10
- 3JAXJacksonville Jaguars78.7% win, @ Baltimore Ravens -8.5
- 4SEASeattle Seahawks77.2% win, vs Arizona Cardinals -8.5
- 5DETDetroit Lions71.8% win, @ Miami Dolphins -6.5
Most picked by the public
- 1DETDetroit Lions24.1% of entries
- 2KCKansas City Chiefs20.1% of entries
- 3SEASeattle Seahawks14.2% of entries
Contrarian value
- 1SFSan Francisco 49ers79.5% win, only 6.1% picked
- 2HOUHouston Texans68.4% win, only 1.4% picked
- 3DALDallas Cowboys67.6% win, only 4% picked
All 30 teams, strongest first. Scroll sideways on a phone.
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Kansas City Chiefs | vs New York Jets | -9.5 | 80.4% | 80.8% | 20.1% | — |
| SF San Francisco 49ers | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -10 | 79.5% | 85% | 6.1% | — |
| JAX Jacksonville Jaguars | @ Baltimore Ravens | -8.5 | 78.7% | 77.9% | 12.6% | W |
| SEA Seattle Seahawks | vs Arizona Cardinals | -8.5 | 77.2% | 70.9% | 14.2% | — |
| DET Detroit Lions | @ Miami Dolphins | -6.5 | 71.8% | 75.5% | 24.1% | — |
| CHI Chicago Bears | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -6 | 70.2% | 69% | 8.8% | — |
| HOU Houston Texans | @ Los Angeles Chargers | -6 | 68.4% | 66% | 1.4% | — |
| DAL Dallas Cowboys | @ Indianapolis Colts | -5.5 | 67.6% | 70.6% | 4% | — |
| LA Los Angeles Rams | @ Washington Commanders | -4.5 | 66.1% | 71% | 2.6% | — |
| CIN Cincinnati Bengals | @ Atlanta Falcons | -3 | 60.9% | 65.3% | 0.9% | — |
| NO New Orleans Saints | vs Cleveland Browns | -3 | 60.7% | 59.3% | 0.8% | — |
| NE New England Patriots | vs Green Bay Packers | -3 | 60.5% | 59.2% | 0.1% | — |
| NYG New York Giants | @ Philadelphia Eagles | -3 | 60.4% | 58.1% | 1.6% | — |
| BUF Buffalo Bills | @ Minnesota Vikings | -3 | 60.4% | 61.8% | 0.3% | — |
| DEN Denver Broncos | @ Carolina Panthers | -2.5 | 57.2% | 58.1% | 1.8% | — |
| Underdogs this week | ||||||
| CAR Carolina Panthers | vs Denver Broncos | +2.5 | 42.8% | 41.9% | 0% | — |
| PHI Philadelphia Eagles | vs New York Giants | +3 | 39.6% | 41.9% | 0.3% | — |
| MIN Minnesota Vikings | vs Buffalo Bills | +3 | 39.6% | 38.2% | 0% | — |
| GB Green Bay Packers | @ New England Patriots | +3 | 39.5% | 40.8% | 0.1% | — |
| CLE Cleveland Browns | @ New Orleans Saints | +3 | 39.3% | 40.7% | 0.2% | — |
| ATL Atlanta Falcons | vs Cincinnati Bengals | +3 | 39.1% | 34.7% | 0% | — |
| WAS Washington Commanders | vs Los Angeles Rams | +4.5 | 33.9% | 29% | 0% | — |
| IND Indianapolis Colts | vs Dallas Cowboys | +5.5 | 32.4% | 29.4% | 0% | — |
| LAC Los Angeles Chargers | vs Houston Texans | +6 | 31.6% | 34% | 0.1% | — |
| TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers | @ Chicago Bears | +6 | 29.8% | 31% | 0% | — |
| MIA Miami Dolphins | vs Detroit Lions | +6.5 | 28.2% | 24.5% | 0% | — |
| ARI Arizona Cardinals | @ Seattle Seahawks | +8.5 | 22.8% | 29.1% | 0% | — |
| BAL Baltimore Ravens | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | +8.5 | 21.3% | 22.1% | 0.1% | L |
| LV Las Vegas Raiders | @ San Francisco 49ers | +10 | 20.5% | 15% | 0% | — |
| NYJ New York Jets | @ Kansas City Chiefs | +9.5 | 19.6% | 19.2% | 0% | — |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.